| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 6qtX3pFwXQZGivnJUY/NfoBq |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m15@80/2006/11.23.17.31 |
| Last Update | 2006:11.23.17.31.20 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m15@80/2006/11.23.17.31.21 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.26.18.00.48 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE-14519-PRE/9550 |
| ISSN | 0894-8755 |
| Citation Key | TrenberthMoorKarlNobr:2006:FuPe |
| Title | Monitoring and prediction of the earth's climate: a future perspective  |
| Year | 2006 |
| Month | Oct. |
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 2620 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Trenberth, Kevin E. 2 Moore, Berrien 3 Karl, Thomas R. 4 Nobre, Carlos Afonso |
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGQ7 |
| Group | 1 2 3 4 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 2 University of New Hampshire, Durham, New Hampshire 3 National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos (CPTEC) |
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 2 3 4 nobre@cptec.inpe.br |
| e-Mail Address | atus@cptec.inpe.br |
| Journal | Journal of Climate |
| Volume | 19 |
| Number | 20 |
| Pages | 5001- 5008 |
| History (UTC) | 2007-01-08 16:35:01 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2008-06-10 20:44:54 :: administrator -> estagiario :: 2010-05-11 16:56:47 :: estagiario -> administrator :: 2022-03-26 18:00:48 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2006 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Keywords | climate information system much-needed step data assimilation climate changes atmosphere carbon dioxide products global energy infrastructure |
| Abstract | The climate is changing because of human activities and will continue to do so regardless of any mitigation actions. Available climate observations and information are also changing as technological advances take place. Accordingly, an overview is given of a much-needed potential climate information system that embraces a comprehensive observing system to observe and track changes and the forcings of the system as they occur, and that develops the ability to relate one to the other and understand changes and their origins. Observations need to be taken in ways that satisfy the climate monitoring principles and ensure long-term continuity, and that have the ability to discern small but persistent signals. Some benchmark observations are proposed to anchor space-based observations and trends, including a much-needed step forward in the quality of water vapor observations. Satellite observations must be calibrated and validated, with orbital decay and drift effects fully dealt with if possible, and adequate overlap to ensure continuity. The health of the monitoring system must be tracked and resources identified to address issues. Fields must be analyzed into global products and delivered to users while stakeholder needs are fully considered. Data should be appropriately archived with full and open access, along with metadata that fully describe the observing system status and environment in which it operates. Reanalysis of the records must be institutionalized along with continual assessment of impacts of new observing and analysis systems. Some products will be used to validate and improve models, as well as initialize models and predict future evolution on multiple time scales using ensembles. Attribution of changes to causes is essential, and it is vital to fully assess past changes and model performance and results in making predictions to help appraise reliability and assess impacts regionally on the environment, human activities, and sectors of the economy. In particular, a revolution in the way developing countries use and apply climate information is expected. Such a system will be invaluable and further provides a framework for setting priorities of new observations and related activities. Without the end-to-end process the investments will not deliver adequate return and our understanding will be much less than it would be otherwise. |
| Area | MET |
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > Monitoring and prediction... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| data URL | http://mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br/ibi/6qtX3pFwXQZGivnJUY/NfoBq |
| zipped data URL | http://mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br/zip/6qtX3pFwXQZGivnJUY/NfoBq |
| Language | en |
| Target File | Nobre.Monitoring.pdf |
| User Group | administrator estagiario |
| Visibility | shown |
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher6 allowfinaldraft |
| Read Permission | allow from all |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 |
| URL (untrusted data) | http://ams.allenpress.com |
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; MGA; COMPENDEX. |
| Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel documentstage doi format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork versiontype |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |